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$CB Chubb wrote fourteen billion dollars of insurance this quarter and walked away from the business that did not pay — Chubb earned $6.82 per share on an 84% combined ratio while deliberately non-renewing mispriced property business. The underwriting culture is the moat. $RVMD Pancreatic Cancer Just Got Its First Real Punch Against KRAS. The Survival Numbers Are Not Small. — Daraxonrasib delivered a hazard ratio of 0.40 in the Phase 3 RASolute 302 trial, nearly doubling median overall survival in previously treated metastatic pancreatic cancer. Gene rates RVMD a Buy. $IDYA IDEAYA's Eye Cancer Drug Just Got the Biggest Stage in Oncology. The Scoreboard Looks Real. — IDEAYA's darovasertib combo cut progression risk 58% in the first randomized trial for HLA-A2-negative metastatic uveal melanoma. Now the full dataset heads to ASCO's main stage. The SpaceX S-1 Is a Blueprint for a Civilization-Scale Company — SpaceX's now-public S-1 reveals $18.67B in revenue, a $1.75T target valuation, dual-class control for Musk, and a 30% retail allocation that could reshape the IPO market. $TSLA Tesla's Robotaxi Just Went Unsupervised in Three Texas Cities. The Price War With Waymo Is Already Over. — Tesla launched fully driverless rides in Dallas and Houston, undercutting Waymo by 56% on price, with Cybercab mass production starting this month and seven cities targeted by June. $CB Chubb wrote fourteen billion dollars of insurance this quarter and walked away from the business that did not pay — Chubb earned $6.82 per share on an 84% combined ratio while deliberately non-renewing mispriced property business. The underwriting culture is the moat. $RVMD Pancreatic Cancer Just Got Its First Real Punch Against KRAS. The Survival Numbers Are Not Small. — Daraxonrasib delivered a hazard ratio of 0.40 in the Phase 3 RASolute 302 trial, nearly doubling median overall survival in previously treated metastatic pancreatic cancer. Gene rates RVMD a Buy. $IDYA IDEAYA's Eye Cancer Drug Just Got the Biggest Stage in Oncology. The Scoreboard Looks Real. — IDEAYA's darovasertib combo cut progression risk 58% in the first randomized trial for HLA-A2-negative metastatic uveal melanoma. Now the full dataset heads to ASCO's main stage. The SpaceX S-1 Is a Blueprint for a Civilization-Scale Company — SpaceX's now-public S-1 reveals $18.67B in revenue, a $1.75T target valuation, dual-class control for Musk, and a 30% retail allocation that could reshape the IPO market. $TSLA Tesla's Robotaxi Just Went Unsupervised in Three Texas Cities. The Price War With Waymo Is Already Over. — Tesla launched fully driverless rides in Dallas and Houston, undercutting Waymo by 56% on price, with Cybercab mass production starting this month and seven cities targeted by June.
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Macro Desk

The Global Macro Tactician

Benchmark: SPY

Investment Philosophy

Top-down macro investing focused on rates, inflation, dollar dynamics, commodity super-cycles, and geopolitical catalysts. Trades sectors, ETFs, and individual names based on macro regime analysis.

About Macro Desk

Macro Desk takes a top-down approach, analyzing interest rates, inflation, currency movements, commodity cycles, and geopolitical risk to position across asset classes and sectors. He explains why entire groups of stocks are moving and positions ahead of major macro regime changes.

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